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Canadian Open semi-finals: Swiatek looks to end drought, rising star Jodar eyes best result

Iga Swiatek can reach her first final of this season.
Iga Swiatek can reach her first final of this season.EYEPIX / NURPHOTO / NURPHOTO VIA AFP

Wednesday's schedule at the Canadian Open will feature all semi-final clashes on the men's and women's sides of the tournament. In Toronto, Iga Swiatek looks to end a lengthy final drought in her showdown against Elina Svitolina, while fans can also look forward to a blockbuster battle of Grand Slam champions between Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff. Meanwhile, a surprise final is on the cards in the men's draw in Montreal, though defending champion Ben Shelton and rising star Rafael Jodar remain the favourites to progress.

Featured matches, Wednesday, August 12th

Women's singles semi-finals

Elina Svitolina (9) vs Iga Swiatek (7) | Centre Court, Thursday 01:00 CET

Coco Gauff (4) vs Elena Rybakina (2) | Centre Court, Thursday 02:30 CET

Men's singles semi-finals

Rafael Jodar (20) vs Brandon Nakashima (28) | Centre Court, 23:59 CET

Learner Tien (12) vs Ben Shelton (5) | Centre Court, Thursday 01:30 CET

Svitolina vs Swiatek - Thursday 01:00 CET

Match news and form

Iga Swiatek reaches only her second semi-final of the season after defeating Diana Shnaider, 6-2, 6-1, on Tuesday, completing the rout in just 64 minutes for her quickest win of the campaign. She has also equalled her best tournament result with her 2023 semi-final finish in the Montreal leg.

Swiatek has fallen as low as No. 8 in the rankings after enduring a season of almost-weekly disappointment. She arrived in Toronto without back‑to‑back wins in four of her last seven tournaments and failing to go past the quarter-final at any event except Rome.

Win probability
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In response, the Pole crushed Sara Bejlek and Viktorija Golubic in straight sets and later rallied from a set down to knock out Marta Kostyuk, avenging the recent Roland‑Garros fourth‑round defeat. She can at last aim to win five matches in a row for the first time in the season.

Elina Svitolina faced a deficit in the quarter-finals but rallied strongly to set aside Ekaterina Alexandrova, 3-6, 6-0, 6-3, to extend her rich vein of form on hard courts. It was her second comeback win of the week, having survived a near three‑hour tussle against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro.

Svitolina has now won more than 40 matches in the season, crossing this milestone for the first time since 2018. She has already reached three finals in the last eight months, including WTA 1000 finals that led to a title in Rome and a runner‑up finish in Dubai.

Head-to-head

Swiatek leads 4-3. Svitolina has narrowed the gap after winning their last two meetings, prevailing in Indian Wells and Rome this season. Half of their last six meetings have gone to deciding sets, including both of this season.

Stats & facts

Swiatek suffered a three‑set loss to Jessica Pegula in her only previous semi-final match at this tournament in 2023.

Swiatek has lost nine of her last 11 meetings with fellow top‑10 players.

Svitolina stands 1-1 in the semi-finals of the Canadian Open, having won a title here in Toronto in 2017.

Svitolina has gone 8-3 against top‑10 opponents in the season, 4-0 in the last four.

Betting analysis

Swiatek is undeniably showing signs of a resurgence after four more-or-less clinical victories in Toronto. The Pole is looking in the mood for revenge and has the advantage as she tries to avoid a hat‑trick of losses to former champion Svitolina.

Svitolina in 2026

Best results: Rome, Auckland (title); Dubai (final)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Auckland (title); Dubai (final)

Record: 41-11

Record in the last 10 matches: 7-3

Record on outdoor hard courts: 25-6

Record against top-10 players: 8-3 (career 51-60)

Record in WTA 1000 semi-finals: 2-1 (career 6-9)

Record in semi-finals: 3-3 (career 25-28)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (semi-finals), French Open (quarter-finals), Wimbledon (round of 128)

Svitolina at the Canadian Open

Career record: 20-8

Best result: title (Toronto 2017)

Last year's result (Montreal): Quarter-finals

Record in semi-finals: 1-1

Preparation: Washington (quarter-finals)

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Bouzas Maneiro (6-7, 7-6, 6-4), (24) Potapova (6-1, 6-1), (8) Anisimova (6-2, 6-4), (16) Alexandrova (3-6, 6-0, 6-3)

Swiatek in 2026

Best results: Rome (semi-finals)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Toronto (semi-finals)

Record: 27-12

Record in the last 10 matches: 7-3

Record on outdoor hard courts: 16-6

Record against top-10 players: 1-5 (career 54-32)

Record in WTA 1000 semi-finals: 0-1 (career 12-9)

Record in semi-finals: 0-1 (career 29-17)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (quarter-finals), French Open (round of 16), Wimbledon (round of 32)

Swiatek at the Canadian Open

Career record: 14-4

Best result: Semi-finals (Montreal 2023, Toronto 2026)

Last year's result (Montreal): round of 16

Record in semi-finals: 0-1

Preparation: None

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Bejlek (6-0, 6-3), Golubic (6-2, 6-1), (10) Kostyuk (3-6, 6-1, 6-2), (15) Shnaider (6-2, 6-1)

Gauff vs Rybakina - Thursday 02:30 CET

Match news and form

Coco Gauff must have breathed a sigh of relief after learning of Belinda Bencic's walkover from their quarter-final match. To be fair, the American is looking in supreme form in Toronto after winning her first three matches in decisive straight sets, including beating Alina Korneeva and Maria Sakkari.

While she has been equally productive elsewhere in the season, Gauff hasn't quite excelled in the latter stages of tournaments. The 2025 Wuhan champion has not won a title this season, but at best reached the finals in Miami and Rome and the semi-finals in Dubai and Wimbledon.

Win probability
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Elena Rybakina spent most of her quarter-final match against Naomi Osaka coming from behind, including dropping the first set, going a break down in the second set multiple times, and standing two points from defeat in the tiebreak. Finally, she emerged victorious, dismissing the 2025 finalist 4-6, 7-6, 6-4.

Rybakina has been putting out fires throughout this campaign, including edging out‑of‑form opponents such as Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova in three sets. Nevertheless, this is an acceptable campaign after landing in Toronto without multiple wins in three of her last four outings.

The former Wimbledon champion was nothing short of imperious on hard courts earlier in the season. In addition to winning her second Grand Slam title at the Australian Open, she came a point away from becoming the champion in Indian Wells and later reached the semi-finals in Miami.

Head-to-head

Gauff leads 1-0. Just so it happens, the pair have already met in Toronto for a modest second-round encounter in 2022. The American prevailed 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 after battling for almost three hours.

Stats & facts

Gauff has reached the semi-finals at the National Bank Open for the first time (was previously 0-3 in quarter-finals).

Gauff has won six of her last nine meetings with opponents in the top-2 rankings.

Rybakina stands 0-2 in Canadian Open semi-finals, failing in her bids in Montreal in 2023 and 2025.

Rybakina has won 14 of her last 17 meetings with top‑10 players.

Betting analysis

There is absolutely nothing that sets these two apart from the elite players, including the odds. Neither of them has ever reached the finals of the Canadian Open, presenting the prospect of uncharted territory in their accomplished careers. Even with Gauff's smooth sailing and Rybakina's tenacity in the last few days, the chances of a deciding-set marathon are all but certain.

Gauff in 2026

Best results: Rome, Miami (final)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Miami (final)

Record: 34-12

Record in the last 10 matches: 8-2

Record on outdoor hard courts: 19-6

Record against top-10 players: 3-4 (career 36-40)

Record in WTA 1000 semi-finals: 2-1 (career 7-8)

Record in semi-finals: 2-2 (career 16-18)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (quarter-finals), French Open (round of 32), Wimbledon (semi-finals)

Gauff at the Canadian Open

Career record: 13-5

Best result: Semi-finals (Toronto 2026)

Last year's result (Montreal): Round of 16

Record in semi-finals: 0-0

Preparation: None

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Day (6-2, 7-5), (29) Sakkari (6-1, 6-4), Korneeva (6-3, 6-1), (12) Bencic (w/o)

Rybakina in 2026

Best results: Stuttgart, Australian Open (title); Indian Wells (final)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Australian Open (title); Indian Wells (final)

Record: 38-11

Record in the last 10 matches: 7-3

Record on outdoor hard courts: 25-5

Record against top-10 players: 7-3 (career 38-30)

Record in WTA 1000 semi-finals: 1-1 (career 6-7)

Record in semi-finals: 3-1 (career 25-16)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (title), French Open (round of 64), Wimbledon (round of 32)

Rybakina at the Canadian Open

Career record: 12-4

Best result: semi-finals (Montreal 2023 & 2025, Toronto 2026)

Last year's result (Montreal): Semi-finals

Record in semi-finals: 0-2

Preparation: None

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Kasatkina (6-3, 5-7, 6-4), (28) Li (6-2, 7-5), Samsonova (6-4, 4-6, 6-4), (11) Osaka (4-6, 7-6, 6-4)

WTA Toronto: Wednesday's schedule | Results

Jodar vs Nakashima - 23:59 CET

Match news and form

Rafael Jodar enjoyed a dominant run in hard-court Challenger events during the second half of 2025, mostly in North America, which gave him confidence and accelerated his development into the player he is today. This year, he appears ready to replicate that success on the main tour.

He started the US Open Series with a superb run to the final in Washington last week and has now put himself one step away from repeating that feat in Montreal. He has lost just one set on his way to the semi-final, while recording notable wins over Lorenzo Musetti, Jiri Lehecka, and Arthur Fils, showcasing his dominant form and supreme confidence.

The tour has witnessed several sensational rises in recent years, particularly in the post-COVID era, but Jodar's current ascent arguably eclipses almost all of them. Just 12 months ago, he had little to no tour-level experience, and even at the start of 2026, he was still playing qualifying matches at the Canberra Challenger.

Win probability
Win probabilityFlashscore

His remarkable surge over the past few months has now taken him into the top 20 and to the cusp of a top-10 debut, which would be a remarkable achievement. He is up to No. 11 in the live rankings and has a real chance of breaking into the top 10 at this tournament.

Brandon Nakashima will also be delighted with his start to the US Open Series, a phase of the season that has regularly disappointed him in the past. Despite being comfortable and well acclimatised to these conditions, he has often struggled to turn strong starts into quarter-final or better results.

However, he appears to have addressed that issue this year, reaching back-to-back semi-finals. He reached the last four in Washington, where he lost to Taylor Fritz in three sets, and has now repeated that feat in Montreal, setting up a clash with a red-hot Jodar.

Head-to-head

These two players have never met before.

Stats & facts

Jodar has won 24 of his 31 matches on outdoor hard courts this year.

This is Jodar's maiden semi-final appearance at the Masters level. His overall tour-level semi-final record stands at 2-1.

Nakashima is also making his debut in the semi-finals of a Masters tournament.

Nakashima is 4-5 against top-20 players this year. He heads into this clash on a nine-match losing streak against top-20 players at the Masters level.

Betting analysis

Although both players have made a strong start to the US Open Series and are high on confidence right now, Jodar's level has been significantly stronger and more impressive than almost anyone else in the field this week. At the level he is currently operating, he looks like a proper title contender, capable of challenging even the elite players.

If he can sustain this form, Jodar should have little trouble dealing with Nakashima in the semi-finals and reaching back-to-back tour-level finals, something he has yet to achieve in his young career.

Jodar in 2026

Best results: Marrakech (title); Washington (final)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Washington (final)

Record: 47-13

Record in the last 10 matches: 8-2

Record on outdoor hard courts: 24-7

Record against top-50 players: 13-10 (career 14-10)

Record in ATP Masters 1000 semi-finals: 0-0 (career 0-0)

Record in semi-finals: 2-1 (career 2-1)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (round of 64), French Open (quarter-finals), Wimbledon (round of 32)

Jodar at the Canadian Open

Career record: 4-0

Best result: Semi-finals (Montreal 2026)

Last year's result (Toronto): Did not play

Record in semi-finals: 0-0

Preparation: Washington (final)

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Moutet (4-6, 6-1, 6-3), (11) Musetti (6-4, 6-3), (8) Lehecka (6-3, 6-3), (18) Fils (7-6, 6-3)

Nakashima in 2026

Best results: Brisbane (final)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Brisbane (final)

Record: 26-15

Record in the last 10 matches: 8-2

Record on outdoor hard courts: 16-7

Record against top-20 players: 4-5 (career 17-38)

Record in ATP Masters 1000 semi-finals: 0-0 (career 0-0)

Record in semi-finals: 1-3 (career 4-9)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (round of 128), French Open (round of 32), Wimbledon (round of 64)

Nakashima at the Canadian Open

Career record: 7-4

Best result: Semi-finals (Montreal 2026)

Last year's result (Toronto): Round of 32

Record in semi-finals: 0-0

Preparation: Washington (semi-finals)

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Altmaier (6-2, 6-1), Droguet (4-6, 6-2, 7-5), (23) Rinderknech (7-6, 5-7, 7-5), (19) Darderi (6-2, 6-3)

Tien vs Shelton - Thursday 01:30 CET

Match news and form

As an American player ranked inside the top 20, it is crucial for Learner Tien to maximise these North American tournaments to sustain his ranking. His prospects looked bleak coming into Montreal, with his recent form underwhelming, including a poor showing in Washington last week.

He also made a shaky start in Montreal, but favourable matchups against out-of-form or physically compromised opponents helped him collect wins. That appears to have boosted his confidence, as he looked much closer to his best in the quarter-finals against Daniel Merida Aguilar, cruising to a 6-3, 6-2 victory.

This Montreal run appears to have solved two problems for Tien. It has brought him back into form at a crucial stage of the season while also delivering the big result he needed at a high-profile event. Before this week, he had never gone beyond the quarter-finals at a Masters or Grand Slam, but that barrier has now been broken as he reaches his maiden semi-final at this level. The run has also lifted him to a career-high No. 13 in the live rankings.

Win probability
Win probabilityFlashscore

Ben Shelton has won plenty of matches and titles this year, but his level has not matched what he showed over the last two seasons. His preparation for the title defence also offered little encouragement, as he lost a three-setter to Alejandro Tabilo in Washington last week.

He needed a statement performance to lift his spirits, and delivered exactly that in the Montreal quarter-finals, producing arguably his best match of the season to dismantle Jakub Mensik 6-3, 6-1 and knock out the only other Masters champion left in the draw. Every time Shelton has progressed beyond the quarter-finals this year, he has gone on to win the title, maintaining a perfect record in semi-finals and finals.

He has won three ATP titles this season, one each on indoor hard courts, clay, and grass. If he maintains that record in Montreal, he can claim his first outdoor hard-court title of the year and complete a title sweep across all four surfaces. Prior to this year, he had won just three ATP titles in his career, but he is now on course for a fourth title of the season.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head record is a clean 2-0 in Tien's favour, but a closer look adds some context. Their first meeting came in Mallorca a week before a Grand Slam, when higher-ranked players have historically had less motivation. The second came at the Indian Wells Masters this year, when Shelton was not at his best physically.

Stats & facts

Shelton's only previous Masters semi-final appearance also came in Canada, in Toronto last year, where he won the title.

Shelton is 6-0 in semi-finals and finals combined this year.

Tien has won three of his four career semi-final matches at tour-level events.

Tien holds a solid 7-7 career record against top-10 players.

Betting analysis

Shelton is someone who raises his level when the stakes are high, as he showed by playing one of his best matches of the season against Mensik in the quarter-finals. The stakes are indeed high as he is the defending champion in Canada and is also protecting his top-10 ranking from Jodar and Tien. Just as he raised his level when it mattered against Mensik, Shelton can be trusted to keep delivering and get the better of fellow American Tien.

Tien in 2026

Best results: Geneva (title)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Delray Beach (semi-finals)

Record: 25-13

Record in the last 10 matches: 6-4

Record on outdoor hard courts: 14-6

Record against top-10 players: 2-3 (career 7-7)

Record in ATP Masters 1000 semi-finals: 0-0 (career 0-0)

Record in semi-finals: 1-1 (career 3-1)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (quarter-finals), French Open (round of 32), Wimbledon (round of 64)

Tien at the Canadian Open

Career record: 7-1

Best result: Semi-finals (Montreal 2026)

Last year's result (Toronto): Round of 16

Record in semi-finals: 0-0

Preparation: Washington (round of 32)

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Monfils (6-3, 0-6, 6-3), (17) Paul (6-3, 6-2), Tirante (6-4, 6-4), Merida Aguilar (6-3, 6-2)

Shelton in 2026

Best results: Stuttgart, Munich, Dallas (title)

Best results on outdoor hard courts: Montreal (semi-finals)

Record: 31-12

Record in the last 10 matches: 7-3

Record on outdoor hard courts: 12-5

Record against top-20 players: 6-2 (career 21-32)

Record in ATP Masters 1000 semi-finals: 0-0 (career 1-0)

Record in semi-finals: 3-0 (career 8-7)

Grand Slams: Australian Open (quarter-finals), French Open (round of 64), Wimbledon (round of 128)

Shelton at the Canadian Open

Career record: 12-2

Best result: Title (Toronto 2025)

Last year's result (Toronto): Title

Record in semi-finals: 1-0

Preparation: Washington (quarter-finals)

Road to the semi-finals: Bye, Brooksby (6-3, 7-5), (31) Bergs (6-3, 6-2), (22) Fonseca (6-3, 7-6), (13) Mensik (6-3, 6-1)

ATP Montreal: Wednesday's schedule | Results